Jeremy Heit's Blog
Saturday, October 02, 2004
And the Omar Minaya rumors start...
The hiring of Omar Minaya as the general manager of the New York Mets Thursday may impact the Sox' ability to re-sign free agent shortstop Orlando Cabrera, an industry source suggested yesterday.

As GM of the Montreal Expos, Minaya dealt Cabrera to the Sox on July 31 in a complicated four-team deal, but did so reluctantly. Minaya thought he needed to get something in return for Cabrera, who wasn't going to re-sign with the club.

Minaya remains a huge fan of Cabrera and intends to make a big play for him for the Mets this off-season, though he may first have to find a way to get rid of Japanese import Kaz Matsui, a first-year bust at short. Matsui signed a three-year, $21 million deal last winter.
It gets better (or worse, depending on how you feel).

Sometime today, Gammons was on WEEI (there is no link for it, but its something I've seen buzzing around a few different forum places) saying that the Mets go hard after Cabrera and then flip Reyes for Soriano to play RF. Granted, its Gammons, but its out there.

More important, Orlando Cabrera? I don't know... look at his stats page. Then look at his splits, especially home vs. away from 2001-2003 (especially 2003) and remember how much of a bandbox The Big O played like in those years. And apparently his gold glove defense isn't so golden anymore...

So, here's the question... Which one would you want?

A. Reyes-Cabrera-Hidalgo
B. Matsui-Cabrera-Soriano
C. Matsui-Reyes-Diaz
D. A different combo of the six above (keeping the Reyes-Soriano flip the only way to get Soriano)

Do not interject any other RF signings other than the resigning of Hidalgo, at least for now. Also, positioning is 2B-SS-RF.

By the way, I take C.

Thursday, September 30, 2004
Well, we knew Minaya would have a position "higher than Jim Duquette" in the organization. And, as I figured and really didn't want, that meant GM.

So, Jim pretty much gets the screw job after one year and personally, looking back on it, I don't think they ever wanted to make him GM of the team. They spent the offseason desperately searching for a big name and a big splash and when they didn't get it, they settled for the guy who was still in the organization. I really shouldn't be so shocked to see him go or shouldn't be shocked he'll be the fall guy on all that occurred this year.

I haven't heard the press conference yet, though, looking at the article, I found this quote interesting...
"We're extraordinarily happy about this," Wilpon said. "Omar brings so much to this organization. He brings the evaluation skills that Jim and the baseball department felt we needed. He brings his history with three years as a successful general manager under very difficult circumstances [in Montreal]. Two of the three years, he was in contention for the Wild Card.
There is just so much wrong with this.

The evaluation skills that Jim felt the department needed... because I'm sure Jim was pushing to lose his job! Actually...

Contention? Les Expos? That's like the contention the Mets were in on July 30th. More stupid Wild Card chases... yay!

I'll probably be more rational about this once I get over how they treated Duquette as GM.

But I stil won't like the move.

Wednesday, September 29, 2004
Well, this is news, isn't it?
Omar Minaya reportedly will leave as general manager of the Montreal Expos and join the New York Mets as head of baseball operations, according to The Associated Press.
As most of you probably know already, that means he will take over the top dog spot from Duquette, which means Duquette's role will obviously diminish.

Of course, this move makes no sense. Why? Because the last thing the Mets need is another voice (especially one that seems to like "hit like crap and run like hell" outfielders) in the decision making process when they already have about 20 million of them.

This will be no argument against Miyana because of his record in Montreal. That was a completely messed up situation and one that cannot be judged fairly because of circumstances. As a scout, I'd say he's probably a pretty good one and not a bad baseball man, though the OFs in the system make me think he had/has a little bit of an affinity for what has plauged the Mets depth in OF in the minor league the last few years.

But still, I would have liked to give Duquette a shot. An offseason when he was allowed to spend money to see where he went with it. We know Omar will spend it, though who knows how or where.

Finally, I must leave you with the money quote, the one I thought of the second I saw this article and strangely the one Repoz posted at the top of the thread on the story over at BTF.
I don’t talk about OBP...I’m old school, I’m not a stat guy, I’m a talent evaluator. The guys who taught me the game of baseball never talked about OBP...Give me talent and I’ll show you OBP.
I guess we'll see about that.

Avkash has a nice open thread going on the subject over at his site so check it out.

Also, make sure to check out Part 2 of Eric's series I linked to yesterday. He gives me a few links, so I will definitely give him one back for the great work.

I'll probably have random thoughts about Minaya as things progress, especially after the press conference tomorrow. For now, have a nice day.

Tuesday, September 28, 2004
The Mets got rained out last night in Atlanta (they are playing now as I watch the rain pour down in NY) and Kazmir struck out 6 Red Sox in 3 and 1/3 innings before getting tossed (incorrectly) for beaning two hiters. Good stuff all around last night.

Today, we find Jim Callis answering a question on Victor Diaz...
What will the Mets do with Victor Diaz next year? His Triple-A numbers (.292/.333/.491, 24 homers, 94 RBIs in 141 games) certainly warrant consistent major league playing time. Who would be his competition in New York? I see his strikeout-walk ratio (133-31 in 528 at-bats) is pretty poor and his position (second base or outfield) isn't concrete.

Paul Tokarz
His answer is sort of rambly, but I found this part interesting...
Diaz has hit throughout his minor league career, posting a .310 average and .486 slugging percentage. He never has drawn many walks, however, and he struck out much more frequently in Triple-A than he did lower in the minors. Big league pitchers might be able to exploit his lack of discipline better than minor leaguers did, and I can't see the Mets just handing him their right-field job, even if he goes on a tear for the final 10 days of the season.
Yes, his 133 Ks in a year is a new high for him in any season.

But, three things that make me not worry as much about it....

1. I talked about this the other day, but after his early season struggles, Victor Diaz's walk rate snuck up a tiny bit over what it had been in past years and his K/BB went down.
2. Victor Diaz still hit for a good average. Many times increased strikeouts means less contact and that means lower AVG. That didn't happen to Vic.
3. Most importantly, the rise in isolated power. Ks somewhat correlate to power and seeing his isolated power go up with the Ks is a good sign.

I'm still convinced Vic Diaz should be the starting RF next year and its gonna take a lot to unconvince me, I think.

For other ideas on the future of the Mets, go to Eric's wonderful post (Part 1) based on a Star Ledger Article. Don't read the bench part of the article though... Vance Wilson, Wilson Delgado, Gerald Williams... AHH!

I'll have thoughts eventually on the manager situation... I said the other day in a Primer thread that I don't care, which isn't exactly true. I just don't care much for the flying speculation going around right now and I'm sure I'll have my mind made up fairly soon. So I'll churn that out eventually.

Have a good day and enjoy the double dip.

Sunday, September 26, 2004
It's nice to see the kids play. Heck, they both got 2 hits today after their homers yesterday.

And Jose Reyes and Kaz Matsui too. Heck, Reyes walked today.

And Gerald Williams batting 8th. Hey, its a step in the right direction.

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